Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Performance
| AMBP Stock | USD 4.84 0.20 4.31% |
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardagh Metal holds a performance score of 25. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ardagh Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ardagh Metal is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ardagh Metal's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardagh Metal's price patterns will revert.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Strong
Weak | Strong |
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Metal Packaging are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent fundamental drivers, Ardagh Metal reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.62) | Five Day Return 9.57 | Year To Date Return 15.9 | Ten Year Return (51.90) | All Time Return (51.90) |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0862 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 0.4 | Dividend Date 2025-11-13 | Ex Dividend Date 2025-11-03 |
| Ardagh Metal dividend paid on 13th of November 2025 | 11/13/2025 |
1 | Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Release of Supplemental Company Information | 11/18/2025 |
2 | How Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock compares with top peers - Recession Risk Weekly Momentum Stock Picks - Newser | 12/04/2025 |
3 | King Street Capital Management L.P. Decreases Stake in Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. AMBP - MarketBeat | 12/10/2025 |
4 | Assessing Ardagh Metal Packaging After Upgraded Earnings Forecasts and Strong Recent Share Price Outperformance | 12/16/2025 |
5 | Published on 2025-12-19 183050 - DonanmHaber | 12/19/2025 |
6 | The Truth About Ardagh Metal Packaging Is This Boring Can Stock a Secret Power Move - AD HOC NEWS | 12/31/2025 |
7 | Is Stronger Earnings And Debt Extension Efforts Altering The Investment Case For Ardagh Metal Packaging | 01/07/2026 |
8 | Ardagh Metal Packaging Sees Strong Trading Volume - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 01/16/2026 |
9 | Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat | 02/04/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 443 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -179 M |
Ardagh Metal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 340.00 in Ardagh Metal Packaging on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of 141.00 from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or generate 41.47% return on investment over 90 days. Ardagh Metal Packaging is currently generating 0.5863% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.8008% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Ardagh, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Ardagh Metal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Ardagh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.84 | 90 days | 4.84 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardagh Metal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ardagh Metal Packaging probability density function shows the probability of Ardagh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Ardagh Metal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ardagh Metal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ardagh Metal Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ardagh Metal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ardagh Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ardagh Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ardagh Metal Packaging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ardagh Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.26 |
Ardagh Metal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ardagh Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ardagh Metal Packaging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 645 M. | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
Ardagh Metal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ardagh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ardagh Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ardagh Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 602 M |
Ardagh Metal Fundamentals Growth
Ardagh Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ardagh Metal, and Ardagh Metal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ardagh Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -0.64 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0253 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.06 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.44 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 597.7 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 68.04 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 94.32 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.54 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.91 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 645 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 629 M | ||||
| Net Income | (3 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 583 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.98 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.9 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 6.21 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.46 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (0.57) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 450 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.01) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.89 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 5.46 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (738 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 182 M | ||||
About Ardagh Metal Performance
Assessing Ardagh Metal's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ardagh Metal's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ardagh Metal is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 29.33 | 29.93 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.02 | 0.02 |
Things to note about Ardagh Metal Packaging performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ardagh Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ardagh Metal Packaging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 645 M. | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat |
- Analyzing Ardagh Metal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ardagh Metal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Ardagh Metal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Ardagh Metal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ardagh Metal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ardagh Metal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ardagh Metal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis
When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.