Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Performance

AMBP Stock  USD 4.84  0.20  4.31%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Ardagh Metal holds a performance score of 25. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.14, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Ardagh Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Ardagh Metal is likely to outperform the market. Please check Ardagh Metal's potential upside, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the sortino ratio and skewness , to make a quick decision on whether Ardagh Metal's price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Strong

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Ardagh Metal Packaging are ranked lower than 25 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Even with relatively inconsistent fundamental drivers, Ardagh Metal reported solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.62)
Five Day Return
9.57
Year To Date Return
15.9
Ten Year Return
(51.90)
All Time Return
(51.90)
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0862
Payout Ratio
0.0222
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2025-11-13
Ex Dividend Date
2025-11-03
 
Ardagh Metal dividend paid on 13th of November 2025
11/13/2025
1
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. Release of Supplemental Company Information
11/18/2025
2
How Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. stock compares with top peers - Recession Risk Weekly Momentum Stock Picks - Newser
12/04/2025
3
King Street Capital Management L.P. Decreases Stake in Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. AMBP - MarketBeat
12/10/2025
4
Assessing Ardagh Metal Packaging After Upgraded Earnings Forecasts and Strong Recent Share Price Outperformance
12/16/2025
5
Published on 2025-12-19 183050 - DonanmHaber
12/19/2025
6
The Truth About Ardagh Metal Packaging Is This Boring Can Stock a Secret Power Move - AD HOC NEWS
12/31/2025
7
Is Stronger Earnings And Debt Extension Efforts Altering The Investment Case For Ardagh Metal Packaging
01/07/2026
8
Ardagh Metal Packaging Sees Strong Trading Volume - Heres Why - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
9
Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow443 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-179 M

Ardagh Metal Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  340.00  in Ardagh Metal Packaging on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  141.00  from holding Ardagh Metal Packaging or generate 41.47% return on investment over 90 days. Ardagh Metal Packaging is currently generating 0.5863% in daily expected returns and assumes 1.8008% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 16% of stocks are less volatile than Ardagh, and 89% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ardagh Metal is expected to generate 2.35 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.35 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.33 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of risk.

Ardagh Metal Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Ardagh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.84 90 days 4.84 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardagh Metal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ardagh Metal Packaging probability density function shows the probability of Ardagh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ardagh Metal Packaging has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ardagh Metal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ardagh Metal Packaging is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ardagh Metal Packaging has an alpha of 0.5307, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ardagh Metal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ardagh Metal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ardagh Metal Packaging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.944.756.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.034.846.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.094.906.71
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.054.454.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ardagh Metal. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ardagh Metal's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ardagh Metal's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ardagh Metal Packaging.

Ardagh Metal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ardagh Metal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ardagh Metal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ardagh Metal Packaging, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ardagh Metal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.53
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.36
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Ardagh Metal Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ardagh Metal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ardagh Metal Packaging can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 645 M.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat

Ardagh Metal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ardagh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ardagh Metal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ardagh Metal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding597.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments602 M

Ardagh Metal Fundamentals Growth

Ardagh Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Ardagh Metal, and Ardagh Metal fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Ardagh Stock performance.

About Ardagh Metal Performance

Assessing Ardagh Metal's fundamental ratios provides investors with valuable insights into Ardagh Metal's financial health and overall profitability. This information is crucial for making informed investment decisions. A high ROA would indicate that the Ardagh Metal is effectively leveraging its assets and equity to generate significant profits, making it an appealing investment. Conversely, low Return on Assets could signal underlying management issues in assets and equity, indicating a necessity for operational refinements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 29.33  29.93 
Return On Capital Employed 0.06  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Things to note about Ardagh Metal Packaging performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ardagh Metal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Ardagh Metal Packaging help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.91 B. Net Loss for the year was (3 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 645 M.
About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Ardagh Metal Packaging Sets New 12-Month High - Heres Why - MarketBeat
Evaluating Ardagh Metal's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Ardagh Metal's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Ardagh Metal's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Ardagh Metal's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Ardagh Metal's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Ardagh Metal's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Ardagh Metal's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Ardagh Metal's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Ardagh Metal's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Ardagh Metal's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Ardagh Metal's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Ardagh Stock Analysis

When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.